Match Info

National League South - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.17	3.3	3.19
	2.15	3.48	3.16	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.13	3.16	3.19
	2.16	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)	3.27 ↓ (3.44)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
42.8%

Draw
28.1%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kretzschmar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 2, Silva R. ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, Fasanmade C. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, Grego-Cox R. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 5.

Recent form of Bath has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hampton & Richmond has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bath will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bath won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hampton & Richmond: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Bath City	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dover Athletic - Bath City	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
17.02.26	Totton - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	1:2
05.04.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	0:5
26.08.24	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0
09.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	0:1
26.08.23	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1
07.02.23	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1
16.08.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	1:1

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