Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.75	1.65
	25.00	11.28	1.04	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.67
	4.87	3.62	1.62
	4.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.68 ↑ (5.56)	5.18 ↑ (4.08)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
11.9%

Draw
20%

Southend United
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.3%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southend United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southend United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bath City - Southend United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Raynes J. 🟥,
21', 0 - 1, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Austin S. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Alves J. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, Chambers-Parillon L. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Southend is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
30.12.25	Bath City - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWWL
- Southend United
English National League
30.12.25	Southend United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Braintree Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tamworth - Southend United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southend United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

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