Match Info

National League South - Round 32

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.95
	1.78	3.6	4.38
	1.78	3.72	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.83	3.45	4.29
	1.76	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)	3.51 ↓ (3.71)	4.18 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
51.4%

Draw
26.4%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Kiernan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Boateng N. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Kiernan B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hampton & Richmond has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hemel Hempstead is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 2.3% Hampton & Richmond: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
03.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWLW
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
07.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
08.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
09.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4
16.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2
02.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
07.01.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0
13.08.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1

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