Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	22:30	AzTV, Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	21:30	Sport TV
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	14:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	15:30	Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	15:30	ESPN 5
Colombia	13:30	ESPN
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	13:30	ESPN
Estonia	21:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:00	ZEE5
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Lithuania	21:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:30	FOX+, FOX One
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	02:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	14:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	21:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Africa	20:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South Korea	03:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:30	SCCN
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	NBC, Peacock, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	18:30	OneFootball TV


	Bayern Munich		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.04	19	29	Watch
	1.06	16.5	23
	1.02	18.00	36.00	Watch
	1.05	21.00	44.62
	1.07	20.68	22.01	Watch
	1.02	18.00	44.00
	1.04	24.00	60.00	Watch
	1.03	19.00	40.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.14)	19.52 ↑ (9.57)	37.33 ↑ (15.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
92.5%

Draw
4.9%

Union Berlin
2.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.9%

10%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bayern Munich - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Bayern (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 19. Davies A. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 10. Musiala J. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 28. Trimmel C. (C) 14. Querfeld L. 2. Uduokhai F. 15. Rothe T. 8. Khedira R. 20. Aebischer M. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 13. Schafer A. 29. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
8. Bischof T. 11. Brown N. 7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 42. Karl L. 3. Kim Min-Jae 34. Saibari I. 39. Sapoko Ndiaye B. 40. Urbig J. (G)	9. Burcu L. 30. Imeri K. 6. Kemlein A. 17. Kohn D. 27. Ljubicic M. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T. 24. Skov R. 4. Van Den Bosch Z.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Musiala J. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
38', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Khedira R. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
45+2', Upamecano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Upamecano D. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
46', Latte Lath E. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
60', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
60', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
63', Pavlovic A. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
63', Diaz L. ↓, Saibari I. ↑,
70', 5 - 0, Saibari I. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
71', Trimmel C. ↓, Van Den Bosch Z. ↑,
73', 6 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
76', 7 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
77', Kane H. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
78', Burcu L. 🟨,
82', Schafer A. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
83', Davies A. ↓, Brown N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3.

Bayern has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Union Berlin has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Union Berlin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Bayern as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Union Berlin: Burke O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Friedrich M. (Injury) Ilic A. (Illness) Juranovic J. (Illness) Markgraf A. (Knee Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Union Berlin: Imeri K. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:12 (averaging 2.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 18:2 goals (averaging 2.6:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	25:6	19	17
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 83.57% Union Berlin: 0.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.09.26	Osnabrück - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.08.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTWW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Union Berlin	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Union Berlin - Ipswich Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0
20.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:5
24.01.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	1:0

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