Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	AzTV, Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	ESPN 5
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	ZEE5
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC, Peacock, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	OneFootball TV


	Bayern Munich		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.04	19	29	Watch
	1.06	16.5	23
	1.02	18.00	36.00	Watch
	1.05	21.00	44.62
	1.07	20.68	22.01	Watch
	1.02	18.00	44.00
	1.04	24.00	60.00	Watch
	1.03	19.00	40.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.14)	19.52 ↑ (9.57)	37.33 ↑ (15.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
92.5%

Draw
4.9%

Union Berlin
2.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

10%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bayern Munich - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Bayern (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 19. Davies A. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 10. Musiala J. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 28. Trimmel C. (C) 14. Querfeld L. 2. Uduokhai F. 15. Rothe T. 8. Khedira R. 20. Aebischer M. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 13. Schafer A. 29. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
8. Bischof T. 11. Brown N. 7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 42. Karl L. 3. Kim Min-Jae 34. Saibari I. 39. Sapoko Ndiaye B. 40. Urbig J. (G)	9. Burcu L. 30. Imeri K. 6. Kemlein A. 17. Kohn D. 27. Ljubicic M. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T. 24. Skov R. 4. Van Den Bosch Z.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Musiala J. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
38', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Khedira R. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
45+2', Upamecano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Upamecano D. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
46', Latte Lath E. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
60', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
60', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
63', Pavlovic A. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
63', Diaz L. ↓, Saibari I. ↑,
70', 5 - 0, Saibari I. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
71', Trimmel C. ↓, Van Den Bosch Z. ↑,
73', 6 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
76', 7 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
77', Kane H. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
78', Burcu L. 🟨,
82', Schafer A. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
83', Davies A. ↓, Brown N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3.

Bayern has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Union Berlin has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Union Berlin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Bayern as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Union Berlin: Burke O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Friedrich M. (Injury) Ilic A. (Illness) Juranovic J. (Illness) Markgraf A. (Knee Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Union Berlin: Imeri K. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:12 (averaging 2.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 18:2 goals (averaging 2.6:0.3 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 80.09% Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	14:2	12	10
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.09.26	Osnabrück - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.08.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTWW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Union Berlin	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Union Berlin - Ipswich Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0
20.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:5
24.01.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	1:0

Upcoming Matches