What is the expert prediction for Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin?

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Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.14	9	13	Watch
	1.15	8.5	12.5
	1.13	8.8	18.5	Watch
	1.16	9.5	17
	1.16	9.46	15.92	Watch
	1.15	8.5	13
	1.16	10.1	14.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.17)	9.12 ↑ (8.52)	14.95 ↑ (12.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
83.1%

Draw
10.5%

Union Berlin
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.3%

11.2%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	10.8%	5.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 74.8% – 97.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Union Berlin (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 7. Gnabry S. 9. Kane H.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 34. Nsoki S. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 19. Haberer J. 6. Kemlein A. 8. Khedira R. 39. Kohn D. 21. Skarke T. 9. Burcu L.
Substitutes
20. Bischof T. 49. Cardozo M. 31. Della Rovere G. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 34. Ofli D. 38. Osmani E. 43. Pavic F. 37. Prescott L. (G)	10. Ansah I. 7. Burke O. 23. Ilic A. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 18. Juranovic J. 25. Klaus C. (G) 33. Kral A. 4. Leite D. 15. Rothe T.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Upamecano D. 🟨,
30', Querfeld L. 🟨,
37', Doekhi D. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Olise M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Gnabry S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Skarke T. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
46', Nsoki S. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
61', Burcu L. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
61', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
61', Karl L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
61', Upamecano D. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Gnabry S. ⚽,
71', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Ito H. ↑,
76', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
87', Gnabry S. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
87', Goretzka L. ↓, Osmani E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3.

Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Hamstring Injury) Diaz L. (Red Card) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Musiala J. (Ankle Injury) Tah J. (Yellow Cards) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Raab M. (Hand Injury) Schafer A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bayern: Neuer M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.3:0.3).

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	28	5	1	122:36	86	89
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	-14	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Bayern Munich - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.03.26	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
15.03.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0
20.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:5
24.01.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	1:0
26.02.23	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0

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