Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	15:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belarus	21:30	Sport TV
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	14:30	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	15:30	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Chile	15:30	ESPN 5
Colombia	13:30	ESPN 5
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	13:30	ESPN 5
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
India	00:00	ZEE5
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 4
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:30	Disney+, FOX One
Mongolia	02:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	14:30	ESPN 5
Peru	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Russia	21:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Africa	20:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South Korea	03:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
International	18:30	OneFootball TV


	Union Berlin		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	3.10	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.95
	2.33	3.30	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.50	3.22
	2.35	3.78	2.8	Watch
	2.30	3.35	3.15
	2.32	3.43	3.13	Watch
	2.38	3.45	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	3.45 ↓ (3.83)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
40.9%

Draw
27.7%

Schalke 04
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

24.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

24.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Union Berlin - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Schalke will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 50%). Schalke (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Schalke (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Union Berlin (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 50%). Schalke (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 18. Juranovic J. 14. Querfeld L. 2. Uduokhai F. 15. Rothe T. 6. Kemlein A. 20. Aebischer M. 9. Burcu L. 8. Khedira R. (C) 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 29. Latte Lath E.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 20. Adamu J. 23. El-Faouzi S. 13. Tanaka S. 8. Gosens R. 21. Ljubicic D. 24. Aouchiche A. 19. Karaman K. (C)
Substitutes
49. Guther L. 19. Haberer J. 27. Ljubicic M. 31. Raab M. (G) 13. Schafer A. 21. Skarke T. 24. Skov R. 28. Trimmel C. 4. Van Den Bosch Z.	43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 29. Dina Ebimbe J. 10. Dzeko E. 7. Hwang Hee-Chan 22. Muller K. (G) 38. Vozar L. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Ljubicic D. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽,
45', Kemlein A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
46', Burcu L. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Aouchiche A. ⚽, Adamu J. (A),
74', Ljubicic M. 🟨,
76', Latte Lath E. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
78', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
80', Gosens R. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
80', Karaman K. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
80', Adamu J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
85', Aebischer M. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
90+1', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skov R. ↑,
90+4', Aouchiche A. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Skarke T. ⚽, Rothe T. (A),
90+9', Karius L. 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 3, Wober M. ⚽, Hwang Hee-Chan (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Burke O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Friedrich M. (Injury) Ilic A. (Illness) Markgraf A. (Knee Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schallenberg R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Imeri K. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Schalke	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Schalke: 0.17% Union Berlin: 0.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Union Berlin - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Union Berlin	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Union Berlin - Ipswich Town	2:4 ✺
02.08.26	Union Berlin - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWLT
- Schalke 04
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Hallescher - Schalke 04	2:5 AET ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Hessen Kassel - Schalke 04	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.02.23	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0
27.08.22	Schalke 04 - Union Berlin	1:6
13.02.21	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0
18.10.20	Schalke 04 - Union Berlin	1:1
07.06.20	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:1
29.11.19	Schalke 04 - Union Berlin	2:1

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