Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 12
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 15
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	17:45	Disney+


	Bačka Topola		Lugano

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.58
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.59	4.22	1.59
	4.91	4.3	1.59	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.57
	5.34	4.33	1.62
	5	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (3.45)	4.14 ↑ (3.55)	1.59 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
18.6%

Draw
22.6%

Lugano
58.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	4.2%	91.7%

Bačka Topola - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Lugano will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 22. Jovanovic S. 25. Djordjevic M. 5. Stevanovic D. 30. Petrovic N. (C) 7. Radin M. 35. Djakovac I. 14. Stanic P. 18. Banjac M. 27. Pantovic M. 10. Cirkovic A.	1. Saipi A. (G) 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 6. Papadopoulos A. 5. Hajdari A. 26. Marques M. 8. Grgic A. 29. Belhadj M. 11. Steffen R. (C) 27. Dos Santos D. 18. Mahou H. 9. Vladi S.
Substitutes
3. Bagnack M. 31. Capan L. 24. Gordic D. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 4. Krstic V. 9. Lazetic M. 29. Mboungou V. 11. Milosavljevic I. 6. Pejic A. 88. Sos B.	31. Aliseda I. 25. Bislimi U. 10. Bottani M. 21. Cimignani Y. 20. Doumbia O. 22. El Wafi A. 17. Mai L. 99. Mina D. (G) 58. Osigwe S. (G) 93. Przybylko K. 23. Valenzuela M. 46. Zanotti M.
Coaches
Damjanovic J.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Radin M. 🟨,
57', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
58', Belhadj M. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Pantovic M. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Belhadj M. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽, Stevanovic D. (A),
64', Marques M. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
64', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bislimi U. ↑,
64', Belhadj M. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
70', Hajdari A. 🟨,
71', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
72', Djakovac I. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
74', Mahou H. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
83', Banjac M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
83', Grgic A. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Pantovic M. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
89', Sos B. 🟨,
89', Bottani M. 🟥,
90', Pantovic M. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lugano is a favorite.

There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
03.11.24	Bačka Topola - Partizan	1:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Vršac - Bačka Topola	1:2 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.10.24	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Bačka Topola - Legia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Serbian Superliga
18.10.24	Bačka Topola - Radnički 1923	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
03.11.24	Lugano - Yverdon	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lugano - Young Boys	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Mladá Boleslav - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.10.24	Yverdon - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWL

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