Match Info

Super Lig - Round 27

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 6
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 6
Colombia	ESPN 6
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Ecuador	ESPN 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 6
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 6
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 6, Inter


	Beşiktaş		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.37	5	7.25
	1.33	4.69	9.03	Watch
	1.34	5.34	9.66
	1.34	5.29	8.33	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8
	1.36	5.21	9.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	4.98 ↓ (5.19)	8.66 ↑ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
70.3%

Draw
18.9%

Kasımpaşa
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.3%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

17.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 14. Uduokhai F. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. 18. Cerny V. 23. Asllani K. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 15. Olaitan J. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Arous A. 22. Corekci K. 8. Cafu 16. Baldursson A. F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 34. Diabate F. 18. Allevinah J. 19. Benedyczak A.
Substitutes
35. Djalo T. 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 25. Sazdagi G. 8. Ucan S. 11. Under C. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	5. Aydin E. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 77. Gueye P. 6. Gultekin B. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 20. Opoku N. 23. Tosun C. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
13', Cafu 🟨,
15', Corekci K. 🟨,
16', Belozoglu E. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Kokcu O. ⚽, Murillo M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Ndidi W. 🟨,
53', Murillo M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Benedyczak A. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Arous A. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
61', Winck C. 🟨,
66', Allevinah J. 🟨,
71', Asllani K. ↓, Under C. ↑,
71', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
73', Corekci K. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
78', Yilmaz R. 🟨,
80', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
86', Allevinah J. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
86', Benedyczak A. ↓, Aydin T. ↑,
86', Yalcin S. 🟨,
90+3', Kokcu O. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 0.

Beşiktaş is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kasımpaşa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Beşiktaş is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Bulut T. (Injury) Sahin D. (Inactive) Topcu E. (Injury) Toure E. B. (Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Kahveci I. C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Uysal N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Benedyczak A. (Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)

We predict that Beşiktaş will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:36. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
15.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
15.03.26	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1
07.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1
02.11.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3
26.05.24	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	2:1
05.01.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3
03.06.23	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	2:4
07.01.23	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1

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