Match Info

Super Lig - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	TOD
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Gençlerbirliği		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.56	Watch
	5.73	4.24	1.6
	5.33	4.23	1.59	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	5.71	4.13	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (4.84)	4.1 ↓ (4.26)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
17.4%

Draw
23%

Beşiktaş
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.2%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Velho R. (G) 13. Pereira P. 6. Goutas D. (C) 4. Zuzek Z. 2. Thalisson Kelven 15. Dele-Bashiru T. 11. Gurpuz G. 22. Koita S. 70. Tongya F. 10. Mimaroglu M. 29. Niang M.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 35. Djalo T. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. 18. Cerny V. 23. Asllani K. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 15. Olaitan J. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
99. Canak C. 18. Erenturk E. (G) 23. Hanousek M. 61. Kemaloglu E. 8. Onur S. 7. Onyekuru H. 20. Traore A. 35. Ulgun O. 88. Uzum F. 53. Varesanovic D.	91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 25. Sazdagi G. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F. 11. Under C. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Demirel V.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Koita S. 🟥,
33', Agbadou E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Olaitan J. ⚽,
66', Pereira P. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Kokcu O. ⚽,
68', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
68', Gurpuz G. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
73', Asllani K. ↓, Under C. ↑,
73', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
83', Kokcu O. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
83', Niang M. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
83', Tongya F. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
89', Olaitan J. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
89', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
90', Zuzek Z. ↓, Hanousek M. ↑,
90+1', Traore A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.

Gençlerbirliği has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beşiktaş is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Beşiktaş may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Beşiktaş is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Ulgun O. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Topcu E. (Injury) Toure E. B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Bulut T. (Injury) Uysal N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12
11	Genclerbirligi	7	2	2	3	7:15	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League
09.03.26	Alanyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Aliaga - Gençlerbirliği	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Eyüpspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTLT
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
07.03.26	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.10.25	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	1:2
15.02.21	Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş	0:3
04.10.20	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	0:1
25.07.20	Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş	0:3
27.12.19	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	4:1
10.03.18	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	1:0
Turkish Cup
06.02.18	Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş	0:1

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