The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beşiktaş 37.1%
Draw 27.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
26.4%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.3%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.6%
17.2%
5.2%
Beşiktaş - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 44 - 84.6%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 74.8% – 94.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 29 - 67.4%). Shakhtar (votes: 10 - 23.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 39. Jurasek D. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 10. Kokcu O. 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 83. Fernandes G. 9. Abraham T.
31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 6. Marlon Gomes 30. Alisson 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Sudakov G. 11. Kevin 7. Eguinaldo
Substitutes
11. Arroyo K. 75. Bingol T. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 6. Hadziahmetovic A. 18. Joao Mario 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 90. Kilicsoy S. 23. Muci E. 24. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S.
16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 12. Gocholeishvili G. 19. Kaua Elias 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 38. Pedrinho 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V. 2. Traore L.
Coaches
Solskjaer O. G.
Turan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Alisson ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Eguinaldo ⚽, Alisson (A),
40', 1 - 2, Abraham T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
56', Marlon Gomes ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
60', Rashica M. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
60', Kokcu O. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Kevin ⚽, Alisson (A),
71', Abraham T. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
76', Alisson ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
76', Eguinaldo ↓, Newerton ↑,
79', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
81', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Joao Mario ⚽,
88', Sudakov G. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
90+1', Kayra Yilmaz K. 🟨,
90+2', Gunok M. 🟨,
90+3', Riznyk D. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 4, Kevin ⚽, Bondarenko A. (A),
Preview
1st leg.
Recent performances by Beşiktaş have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shakhtar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Beşiktaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Beşiktaş has had a series of away games.
Beşiktaş might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).