Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Beaconsfield Town		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.23	3.55	2.45
	2.25	3.65	2.55
	2.27	3.95	2.6
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.3	3.6	2.63
	2.25	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beaconsfield Town
39.9%

Draw
25.3%

Metropolitan Police
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beaconsfield will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Metropolitan Police will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beaconsfield: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Beaconsfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beaconsfield have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Beaconsfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beaconsfield Town
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.11.22	North Leigh - Beaconsfield Town	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Truro City	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
12.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.08.22	Metropolitan Police - Beaconsfield Town	2:3
18.04.22	Metropolitan Police - Beaconsfield Town	4:1
03.01.22	Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police	2:2
04.02.20	Metropolitan Police - Beaconsfield Town	3:1
26.08.19	Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2
22.04.19	Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1
02.01.19	Metropolitan Police - Beaconsfield Town	3:1

Beaconsfield Town - Metropolitan Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide