Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Beasain		Cortes

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.81	5.01
				Watch
	1.59	3.92	5.03
	1.85	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	3.73 ↑ (3.25)	4.53 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
54.6%

Draw
24.9%

Cortes
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beasain's performance.

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cortes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cortes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beasain - Cortes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beasain (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Pita M. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Beasain has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cortes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beasain could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beasain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.25	Cortes - Beasain	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.06.25	Portugalete - Beasain	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Beasain - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWW
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.25	Cortes - Beasain	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.06.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	3:0 ET ✺
31.05.25	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	San Juan - Cortes	0:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Cortes - San Juan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.25	Cortes - Beasain	1:2

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