Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Lowestoft Town		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.4	1.49
	4.8	4.7	1.47
	5.04	5.18	1.48
	5.67	5.05	1.38
	4.8	4.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (3.82)	4.81 ↑ (4)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lowestoft Town
18.4%

Draw
19%

Bedford Town
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lowestoft Town's form might have worsened.

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bedford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bedford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lowestoft Town - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Rangel J. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 0, Sayer H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 2 - 1, Whittaker T. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Gyamfi E. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Lobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Lowestoft has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bedford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bedford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bedford to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.04.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Lowestoft Town	3:1 ✺
01.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Banbury United	2:5 ✺
29.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Spalding United	0:5 ✺
25.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Lowestoft Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Halesowen Town - Lowestoft Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.04.25	Bedford Town - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Leiston - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Bedford Town - Stamford	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Redditch United - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town	4:2

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