Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Hitchin Town		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.9	1.55
	4.6	3.85	1.61
	4.18	3.84	1.74
	4.84	3.96	1.65	Watch
	5.06	3.78	1.57
	4.6	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (5.8)	3.86 ↓ (4.21)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
19.7%

Draw
23.7%

Bedford Town
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.9%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21.4%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hitchin Town - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Panter E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Lobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Hitchin is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

Hitchin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bedford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Bedford is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:9 (average 2.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.25	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
19.04.25	Bedford Town - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Bedford Town	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Bedford Town - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Leiston - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Bedford Town - Stamford	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.12.24	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	2:1
28.01.23	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	0:0
13.09.22	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	3:0
Club Friendly
03.08.21	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	1:1
01.09.20	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	1:6
English Southern Premier League
10.02.14	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	6:1
27.04.13	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	1:4

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