Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.4	3.75
	1.55	3.95	4.9
	1.69	4.76	3.69
	1.61	4.67	4.33	Watch
	1.58	4.5	4.1
	1.55	3.95	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	4.37 ↑ (3.75)	4.28 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
57.5%

Draw
21%

Stourbridge
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Bedford Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Blake R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Davies J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 9).

Bedford in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stourbridge is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bedford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bedford to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bedford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Bedford Town - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Bedford Town	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Bedford Town - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Leiston - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	4:2 ✺
18.04.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1
18.02.23	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	2:1
01.10.22	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:4
English Southern Premier League
07.01.14	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	2:1
31.08.13	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:0

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