Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	2.5	3.45	2.42
	2.46	3.56	2.65
	2.45	3.42	2.44
	2.5	3.45	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.23)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	2.52 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
37.8%

Draw
26%

Harborough Town
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harborough Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gyamfi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Morris A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Bedford in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Harborough is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Leiston - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Bedford Town - Stamford	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Redditch United - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Bedford Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWW
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Harborough Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
25.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Bishops Stortford - Harborough Town	0:4 ✺
15.03.25	Harborough Town - Stratford Town	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Spalding United - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Harborough Town - Bedford Town	2:1

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