Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.9	2.3
	2.34	4.1	2.33
	2.44	4.21	2.39
	2.33	4	2.32
	2.34	4.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.54)	4.06 ↑ (3.3)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
38.7%

Draw
22.4%

Bedford Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Leiston - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Hilliard L. ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Hilliard L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Leiston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bedford is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 3.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Alvechurch - Leiston	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Leiston - Barwell	3:4 ✺
08.03.25	Sudbury Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLWL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Bedford Town - Stamford	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Redditch United - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Bedford Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Sudbury Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Bedford Town - Leiston	4:3
04.02.23	Bedford Town - Leiston	3:4
27.09.22	Leiston - Bedford Town	3:0

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