Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play, Movistar+ Lite


	Liaoning Tieren		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.22	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.03	3.87	3.51
	2.22	3.67	2.93	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.23	3.77	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.52)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	3.08 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
43.9%

Draw
25.6%

Shanghai Port
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

24.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 14. Zang Yifeng 15. Felipe 26. Yuan Mincheng 11. Chen Binbin 18. Li Tixiang 7. Kouame A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 8. Yan Dinghao 47. Jeffinho 9. Mbenza G.	1. Yan Junling (C) 40. Yusup Umidjan 3. Browning Tyias 13. Wei Zhen 32. Li Shuai 10. Mateus Vital 6. Zhang Yuan 49. Li X. 33. Liu Zhurun 22. Yang A. 45. Leonardo
Substitutes
27. Gao Jiarun 21. Han Rongze (G) 35. Li Haoran 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 30. Pang Shenghan 3. Pan Ximing 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 28. Xu Dong 34. Zhang H. 37. Zheng Jiacheng	17. Ampem P. O. 31. Bao Shimeng 12. Chen Wei (G) 23. Fu Huan 26. Liu Ruofan 38. Lu Yongtao 4. Wang Shenchao 19. Wang Zhenao 7. Wu Lei 20. Yang Shiyuan 28. Yue Xin 5. Zhang Linpeng
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Jeffinho 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Kunimoto T. ⚽, Li Tixiang (A),
20', 1 - 1, Li Shuai ⚽, Mateus Vital (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zang Yifeng ↓, Pan Ximing ↑,
46', Chen Binbin ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
51', Wei Zhen 🟨,
60', Zhang Yuan 🟨,
60', Li X. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
60', Zhang Yuan ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
61', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Jeffinho (A),
72', Liu Zhurun ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
80', Yan Dinghao ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
83', Li Shuai ↓, Wang Zhenao ↑,
83', Wei Zhen ↓, Liu Ruofan ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Leonardo ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Jeffinho ⚽, Kouame A. (A),
86', Jeffinho 🟨,
89', Mbenza G. ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,
90+3', Kouame A. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Mawlanniyaz D. (Injury)

There will not play in Shanghai Port: Gabrielzinho (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Jean Claude (Knee Injury) Kuai Jiwen (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shanghai Port	26	10	8	8	40:33	7	33
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
24.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Liaoning Tieren	0:5 ✺
20.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLL
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
23.05.26	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Shanghai Port - Zhejiang Professional	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTTT

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