Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Belenenses		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.57	3.3	5.1
	1.46	3.7	6.4
	1.49	4.2	6.57
	1.53	3.72	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	3.72 ↑ (3.59)	6.02 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
60.5%

Draw
24.4%

Operário Ferroviario
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

15.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Os Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Os Belenenses is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.21	Elvas - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Belenenses - Loures	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.21	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.10.21	Pero Pinheiro - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Belenenses - Pero Pinheiro	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.21	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.10.21	Operário Ferroviario - Sporting Ideal	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.21	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.10.21	Sacavenense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Mafra - Belenenses	✺
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	✺

Belenenses - Operário Ferroviario: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide