Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Belenenses		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.88	3.61	4.07
	1.83	3.66	4.02	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.98	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	3.79 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
49.5%

Draw
26.1%

Vitoria Guimarães B
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Oliveira G. (G) 14. Afonso A. 27. Barros E. 66. Cesinha 11. Duda 17. Horta Leitao D. (C) 2. Machado J. 20. Paulo D. 39. Pinto A. 9. Souza E. 19. Valente A.	99. Guilherme (G) 76. Alcobia 22. Blanco F. 82. Dias F. 46. Nunes H. (C) 75. Oliveira A. 33. Opara E. 80. Rocha R. 96. Rodrigo Silva 56. Verdi S. 50. Zeega

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Souza E. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
64', Duda ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
75', Sambu M. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
79', Zeega ↓, Tepe M. ↑,
79', Blanco F. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
81', Paulo D. 🟨,
82', Tepe M. 🟨,
88', Opara E. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
90', Machado J. ↓, Lucas J. ↑,
90', Valente A. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
90+3', Verdi S. ↓, Carreira D. ↑,

Preview

Belenenses is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guimarães B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Belenenses is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
03.04.26	Trofense - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Mafra - Belenenses	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Belenenses - Varzim	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	União de Santarém - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Belenenses - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
04.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Belenenses	2:2

Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide