Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.88	2.88	2.7	Watch
	3.02	2.98	2.76
	2.92	2.97	2.68	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.63
	2.86	2.93	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.72)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.66 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
32.9%

Draw
31.7%

Racing
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Belgrano - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 14. Morales L. 13. Ocampo A. 16. Ricca F. 21. Sanchez A. 20. Vazquez F. 24. Rigoni E. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 32. Mavilla J. 22. Fernandez N.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 36. Zuculini B. (C) 13. Sosa S. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 24. Fernandez A. 17. Conechny T. 28. Solari S.
Substitutes
28. Daniele M. (G) 45. Falcon A. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 5. Longo S. 42. Lucco J. 9. Passerini L. 4. Rosso A. 15. Tulian R. 53. Velazquez J. 30. Zelarayan G.	9. Adrian Martinez 23. Colombo N. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pardo F. 45. Perez E. 58. Perez T. 14. Pizarro D. 19. Rodriguez I. 34. Rubio T. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G)
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Zelarayan L. 🟨,
19', Cannavo E. 🟨,
25', Rojas G. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, Conechny T. (A),
42', Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rigoni E. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
59', Zuculini B. ↓, Forneris A. ↑,
59', Solari S. ↓, Adrian Martinez ↑,
60', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
60', Forneris A. 🟨,
60', Fernandez N. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Di Cesare M. ⚽, Sosa S. (A),
67', Rojo M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
75', Morales L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
75', Mavilla J. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
78', Vazquez F. 🟨,
85', Di Cesare M. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
85', Fernandez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+3', Adrian Martinez 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 0.

Belgrano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Racing: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Belgrano: Sanchez A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Rodriguez B. (Injury) Zaracho M. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Belgrano - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
24.02.26	Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Racing - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:3 ✺
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.07.25	Belgrano - Racing	0:1
30.01.25	Racing - Belgrano	4:0
12.05.24	Belgrano - Racing	4:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Belgrano - Racing	0:4
27.11.23	Racing - Belgrano	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.23	Racing - Belgrano	0:0
16.03.19	Racing - Belgrano	1:0

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