The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 51.2%
Draw 28.8%
Newells Old Boys 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.9%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
30.3%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Belgrano - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 79.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgrano will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 8. Compagnucci G. 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 24. Maldonado A. 3. Sporle A. 11. Gonzalez F. 5. Longo S. 10. Zelarayan L. 22. Fernandez N. 29. Jara F.
12. Espinola J. (G) 6. Mosquera J. 37. Lollo L. 15. Victor Cuesta 4. Montero A. 38. Chiaverano G. 27. Regiardo L. 5. Banega E. 20. Maroni G. 18. Benedetto D. 32. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 2. Leguizamon A. 4. Lopez E. 32. Mavilla J. 15. Menossi L. 33. Ostchega T. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 30. Saravia Salvia R. A. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 20. Zelarayan G.
30. Barlasina W. (G) 24. Colman Escobar D. J. 14. Fernandez M. 9. Garcia J. 19. Gomez Mattar J. 13. Guch F. 43. Montenegro L. S. 29. Noguera F. 7. Orozco F. 36. Rossi G. 3. Sosa L. 25. Tabares A.
Coaches
Zielinski R.
Fabbiani C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Regiardo L. 🟨,
29', Banega E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
43', Cardozo T. 🟨,
45', Benedetto D. (Pen),
45+1', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Morales L. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Sporle A. (A),
51', Maroni G. 🟥,
61', Jara F. 🟨,
61', Benedetto D. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
61', Regiardo L. ↓, Montenegro L. S. ↑,
64', Chiaverano G. ↓, Guch F. ↑,
74', Jara F. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
75', Gonzalez C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
85', Compagnucci G. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
85', Fernandez N. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Zelarayan G. (A),
88', Longo S. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
Recent performances by Belgrano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Newells Old Boys is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Belgrano is the team to beat.
There will not play in Belgrano: Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L.
(Knee Injury)
Salcedo S.
(Inactive)
Sotelo D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Belgrano: Morales L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Fernandez M.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).