Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Belgrano		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	4	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.65
	2.09	3.26	3.85
	2.05	3	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.04	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)	3 ↑ (2.95)	3.72 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
44.7%

Draw
30.6%

San Martín de Tucumán
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

20.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Tucumán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Belgrano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Martín de Tucumán is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Martín de Tucumán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.21	Almirante Brown - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
19.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
10.04.21	Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Mitre - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:2 ✺
19.04.21	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
13.04.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.19	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	0:0

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