Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 37

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.12	5.1
	1.85	3	4.6
	1.87	3.22	4.65
	1.8	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	4.53 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
49.8%

Draw
29.6%

Almirante Brown
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Orellana J. 6. Meritello F. 3. Banegas N. 7. Pierce M. 5. Ciccolini L. 8. Bucca L. 10. Andrada B. 9. Veron M. 11. Dening E.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Abreliano M. 2. Dattola A. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Ochoa A. 7. Guzman L. 5. Enrique M. 11. Santiago M. 20. Garcia D. 19. Vera S. 9. Bazan N.
Coaches
Frontini P.	Franco D.

Preview

Almirante Brown is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

San Martín de Tucumán is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Martín de Tucumán could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.23	Deportivo Morón - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3 ✺
09.09.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWT
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.09.23	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	All Boys - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.05.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0
24.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:0
04.09.21	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
26.04.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:2

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