Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Almirante Brown		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.25	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3	2.3
	3.25	3.12	2.41
	3.1	2.9	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.28 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
29%

Draw
30.6%

Belgrano
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

21.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almirante Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Almirante Brown - Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Primera Nacional (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Almirante Brown is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Belgrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:2 ✺
12.04.21	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Mitre - Almirante Brown	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.21	Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
19.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
10.04.21	Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Mitre - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTLW

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