Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7


	Thun		Bellinzona

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.6	4.1
	1.73	3.75	4.88
	1.72	3.74	4.64	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.74	4.55	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.65 ↓ (3.92)	4.38 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
53.8%

Draw
25.2%

Bellinzona
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thun - Bellinzona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ziswiler N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 23. Burki M. (C) 5. Franke D. 7. Castroman M. 6. Bertone L. 77. Meichtry F. 70. Reichmuth N. 11. Stewart L. 74. Rastoder E.	22. Enzler S. (G) 66. Matondo H. 34. Sauter I. 8. Sutter N. 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 88. Lusuena N. 4. Sabbatini J. 70. Souza Espana C. 26. L'Ghoul N. 10. Chacon T. 33. Nivokazi R.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 37. Dahler L. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 8. Janjicic V. 78. Matoshi V. 16. Roth J. 24. Steffen N. (G)	77. Da Silva N. 30. De Jesus Sousa M. 14. Gloor F. 27. Krasniqi J. 25. Nkama J. 80. Perrault T. 20. Sangare M. 21. Trochen E. (G)
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Benavente M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Bertone L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Montolio G. ⚽, Castroman M. (A),
45', Lusuena N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nivokazi R. ↓, De Jesus Sousa M. ↑,
46', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
57', Matondo H. ↓, Krasniqi J. ↑,
58', Lusuena N. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
64', Reichmuth N. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
72', Meichtry F. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Roth J. ⚽, Ibayi C. (A),
87', Castroman M. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 2.

Recent matches Thun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Thun is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Thun won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
31.01.25	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Thun - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Thun - Rapperswil-Jona	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Thun - Kriens	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Basel - Thun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTLL
- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
01.02.25	Aarau - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bellinzona - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Wil 1900 - Bellinzona	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Bellinzona - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
05.12.24	Bellinzona - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
04.10.24	Bellinzona - Thun	0:0
20.09.24	Thun - Bellinzona	1:2
13.04.24	Thun - Bellinzona	1:0
27.01.24	Bellinzona - Thun	0:0
13.12.23	Thun - Bellinzona	3:1
25.08.23	Bellinzona - Thun	0:3
23.05.23	Bellinzona - Thun	3:0

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