Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Bembibre		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.05	1.82
	4.4	2.88	1.85
	4.4	3.04	1.84
	4.5	3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
20.5%

Draw
30.2%

Atlético Palencia
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

28%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

27.3%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

The chances for Atlético Palencia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bembibre - Atlético Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 1.

Recent form of Bembibre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Palencia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético Palencia is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bembibre	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.01.26	Becerril - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Atlético Palencia - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.01.25	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	0:3
08.09.24	Atlético Palencia - Bembibre	1:1
24.03.24	Atlético Palencia - Bembibre	1:0
05.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	3:1
02.04.23	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	0:1
04.12.22	Atlético Palencia - Bembibre	3:1
19.03.22	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4

Bembibre - Atlético Palencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide