Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Trapani		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.54	3.2	2.77
	2.56	3.13	2.82	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.44	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.65 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
36.5%

Draw
29%

Avellino
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

32.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avellino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Trapani - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Seculin A. (G) 99. Ciotti P. 5. Celiento D. 28. Silvestri L. 33. Benedetti A. 7. Karic N. 21. Carraro F. 20. Carriero G. 17. Fall M. 10. Lescano F. 14. Bifulco A.	77. Marson L. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 21. Armellino M. 24. Sounas D. 10. Russo R. 9. Patierno C. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
6. Gelli J. 77. Kanoute M. 8. Marino A. 3. Martina A. 4. Sabatino S. 11. Spini C. 9. Udoh K. 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 24. Valietti F. 32. Zuppel D.	51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 50. De Michele P. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 55. Mutanda N. 6. Palmiero L. 11. Redan D. 8. Rocca M. 52. Solaro D. 25. Toscano M. 19. Tribuzzi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Carraro F. 🟨,
54', Carraro F. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
57', Gori G. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Patierno C. ⚽,
63', Carriero G. 🟨,
73', Bifulco A. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
73', Fall M. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
77', Patierno C. 🟨,
79', Patierno C. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
79', Sounas D. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Lescano F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trapani won 2.

Trapani is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avellino in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Trapani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Trapani won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Trapani won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.24	Monopoli - Trapani	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	5:1 ✺
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sorrento - Trapani	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Trapani - Turris	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	Juventus U23 - Avellino	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Avellino - Casertana	5:0 ✺
07.10.24	Crotone - Avellino	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Avellino - Foggia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.02.17	Trapani - Avellino	0:0
10.09.16	Avellino - Trapani	0:0
19.04.16	Avellino - Trapani	1:3
05.12.15	Trapani - Avellino	2:1
16.05.15	Avellino - Trapani	1:1
24.12.14	Trapani - Avellino	4:1
13.05.14	Avellino - Trapani	3:3

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