Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Campo Polisportivo Alessandro La Marmora (Biella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Juventus U23		Avellino

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	5.03	3.6	1.68
	4.57	3.56	1.77	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	4.63	3.48	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.27)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
19.7%

Draw
26%

Avellino
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus U23's form might have worsened.

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avellino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventus U23 - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 7. Mulazzi G. 4. Felipe P. 13. Poli F. 6. Comenencia L. 5. Macca F. 28. Owusu A. 73. Faticanti G. 3. Afena-Gyan F. 74. Papadopoulos C. 17. Guerra S.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 9. Patierno C. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
16. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 24. Citi A. 20. da Graca C. 26. Gil J. 18. Ledonne N. 9. Mancini T. 36. Pagnucco F. 21. Palumbo M. 42. Peeters D. 33. Perotti C. 12. Radu R. (G) 79. Semedo L. 34. Turco S.	51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 50. De Michele P. 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 10. Russo R. 52. Solaro D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 91. Vano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rigione M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Macca F. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
51', Frascatore P. 🟨,
56', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
62', Owusu A. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
63', Papadopoulos C. ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
66', Guerra S. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
67', Comenencia L. 🟨,
70', Gori G. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
71', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
75', Poli F. ↓, Gil J. ↑,
79', Rigione M. 🟨,
82', Comenencia L. 🟨,
83', 0 - 2, Vano M. ⚽,
87', De Cristofaro A. 🟨,
88', Sounas D. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
88', Patierno C. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Mutanda N. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Juventus U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avellino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juventus U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.24	Giugliano - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Juventus U23 - Potenza	2:3 ✺
30.09.24	Benevento - Juventus U23	4:1 ✺
26.09.24	Juventus U23 - Picerno	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Trapani - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
13.10.24	Avellino - Casertana	5:0 ✺
07.10.24	Crotone - Avellino	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Avellino - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Turris - Avellino	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Avellino - Latina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL

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