Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday


	Sporting Lisbon		Napoli

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.95
	3	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.55	1.97
	3.4	3.63	2.11
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.64	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	3.56 (3.56)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
29.5%

Draw
25.8%

Napoli
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

17.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sporting Lisbon - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Sporting is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Napoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Napoli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Sporting Lisbon - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Sporting Lisbon - BSAD	3:1 ✺
28.08.20	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.07.20	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
21.07.20	Sporting Lisbon - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLT
- SSC Napoli
Club Friendly
11.09.20	Napoli - Pescara	4:0 ✺
04.09.20	Napoli - Teramo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.20	Barcelona - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.08.20	Napoli - Lazio	3:1 ✺
28.07.20	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

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