Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	03:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 3
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV6
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	00:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+
Vietnam	23:00	ON Football


	Napoli		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	9	Watch
	1.49	4	7.5
	1.47	4.15	7.9	Watch
	1.47	4.3	9.21
	1.46	3.78	8.90	Watch
	1.46	4.08	9.66
	1.49	4.05	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.05 ↓ (4.28)	8.52 ↑ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
65.1%

Draw
23.6%

Genoa
11.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22.3%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	4.9%	9.8%

Napoli - Genoa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Napoli (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Napoli (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Napoli (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (70 of 82 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.72% – 93.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 37 - 90.2%). Genoa (votes: 3 - 7.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 31. Beukema S. 5. Juan Jesus 17. Olivera M. 68. Lobotka S. 21. Politano M. 99. Anguissa F. 8. McTominay S. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R.	1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 27. Marcandalli A. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 20. Sabelli S. 73. Masini P. 32. Frendrup M. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 17. Malinovskyi R. 9. Vitinha 21. Ekhator J.
Substitutes
69. Ambrosino G. 11. De Bruyne K. 20. Elmas E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 6. Gilmour B. 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A.	23. Carboni V. 29. Colombo L. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 3. Martin A. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.
Coaches
Conte A.	Vieira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Ekhator J. ⚽, Norton-Cuffy B. (A),
38', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
44', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marcandalli A. ↓, Otoa S. ↑,
50', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
50', Politano M. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
55', David Neres 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Anguissa F. ⚽,
61', Ekhator J. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
61', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
63', Otoa S. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽,
76', Sabelli S. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
76', Vitinha ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
82', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
82', David Neres ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Contini N. (Hand Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Muscle Injury) Junior Messias (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genoa: Onana J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Napoli - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Milan - Napoli	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Napoli - Pisa	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Manchester City - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.05.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:2
21.12.24	Genoa - Napoli	1:2
17.02.24	Napoli - Genoa	1:1
16.09.23	Genoa - Napoli	2:2
15.05.22	Napoli - Genoa	3:0
29.08.21	Genoa - Napoli	1:2
06.02.21	Genoa - Napoli	2:1

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