Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Parma		Napoli

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.55	Watch
	6.9	3.7	1.58	Watch
	6.9	3.93	1.61
	6.68	3.96	1.56	Watch
	6	3.6	1.57
	6.9	4.03	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.42)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
14.4%

Draw
24.9%

Napoli
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

24.9%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.2%	86.8%

Parma - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Napoli (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 15. Delprato E. (C) 10. Bernabe A. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 23. Elphege N. 7. Strefezza G.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 37. Spinazzola L. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 8. Estevez N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 3. Ndiaye A. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O.	27. Alisson Santos 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G)
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Strefezza G. ⚽, Elphege N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juan Jesus ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
56', Anguissa F. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
59', Elphege N. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Hojlund R. (A),
66', Hojlund R. ↓, Giovane ↑,
66', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
67', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
72', Strefezza G. ↓, Mikolajewski D. ↑,
78', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
79', Politano M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Circati A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.

Parma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Napoli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.

There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Pellegrino M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Rrahmani A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLTT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0
18.05.25	Parma - Napoli	0:0
31.08.24	Napoli - Parma	2:1
31.01.21	Napoli - Parma	2:0
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2
22.07.20	Parma - Napoli	2:1
14.12.19	Napoli - Parma	1:2

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