Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV6
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	13:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Parma		Napoli

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.55	Watch
	6.9	3.7	1.58	Watch
	6.9	3.93	1.61
	6.68	3.96	1.56	Watch
	6	3.6	1.57
	6.9	4.03	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.42)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
14.4%

Draw
24.9%

Napoli
60.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.2%	86.8%

Parma - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Napoli (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 15. Delprato E. (C) 10. Bernabe A. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 23. Elphege N. 7. Strefezza G.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 37. Spinazzola L. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 8. Estevez N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 3. Ndiaye A. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O.	27. Alisson Santos 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G)
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Strefezza G. ⚽, Elphege N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juan Jesus ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
56', Anguissa F. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
59', Elphege N. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Hojlund R. (A),
66', Hojlund R. ↓, Giovane ↑,
66', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
67', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
72', Strefezza G. ↓, Mikolajewski D. ↑,
78', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
79', Politano M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Circati A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.

Parma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Napoli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.

There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Pellegrino M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Rrahmani A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
19	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.47% Parma: 0.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLTT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0
18.05.25	Parma - Napoli	0:0
31.08.24	Napoli - Parma	2:1
31.01.21	Napoli - Parma	2:0
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2
22.07.20	Parma - Napoli	2:1
14.12.19	Napoli - Parma	1:2

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