Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Benevento		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.55
	2.95	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.48
	2.96	3.31	2.62
	2.88	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3.34	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
33%

Draw
29.3%

Sampdoria
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	41.9%	38.7%

Benevento - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Benevento has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sampdoria has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sampdoria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.01.21	Inter Milan - Benevento	4:0 ✺
22.01.21	Benevento - Torino	2:2 ✺
17.01.21	Crotone - Benevento	4:1 ✺
09.01.21	Benevento - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
06.01.21	Cagliari - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
30.01.21	Sampdoria - Juventus	0:2 ✺
24.01.21	Parma - Sampdoria	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Sampdoria - Udinese	2:1 ✺
11.01.21	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
06.01.21	Sampdoria - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
26.09.20	Sampdoria - Benevento	2:3
06.01.18	Benevento - Sampdoria	3:2
20.08.17	Sampdoria - Benevento	2:1
Coppa Italia
17.08.13	Sampdoria - Benevento	2:0

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