Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 19

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Sampdoria		Udinese

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15
	3.7	3.35	2.06
	3.5	3.25	2.14
	3.72	3.28	2.23
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.54	3.18	2.21	Watch
	3.65	3.35	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
26.7%

Draw
29.2%

Udinese
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

30.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	32%	48%

Sampdoria - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 10 - 20%). Udinese will win (votes: 24 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 34.2% – 61.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (31.74%), has project points - 28, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Udinese has the most likely position - 8 (14.64%), has project points - 53, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 55, small importance 26, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Udinese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
16.01.23	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.01.23	Fiorentina - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.01.23	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:2 ✺
04.01.23	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Sampdoria - Ligorna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
15.01.23	Udinese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Juventus - Udinese	1:0 ✺
04.01.23	Udinese - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.22	Cremonese - Udinese	1:3 ✺
23.12.22	Udinese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.03.22	Udinese - Sampdoria	2:1
03.10.21	Sampdoria - Udinese	3:3
16.05.21	Udinese - Sampdoria	0:1
16.01.21	Sampdoria - Udinese	2:1
12.07.20	Udinese - Sampdoria	1:3
24.11.19	Sampdoria - Udinese	2:1
26.01.19	Sampdoria - Udinese	4:0

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