Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 6

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)


	Parma		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.01	3.43	4.17
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.42	3.78	Watch
	2	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.08)	3.83 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
47.8%

Draw
27.8%

Sampdoria
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parma's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	4.2%	0%

Parma - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 23 - 95.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 87.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 3. Osorio Y. (C) 39. Circati A. 47. Zagaritis V. 10. Bernabe A. 27. Hernani 98. Man D. 19. Sohm S. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 40. Stojanovic P. 87. Ghilardi D. 29. Murru N. 3. Barreca A. 4. Vieira R. 28. Yepes G. 14. Kasami P. 23. Depaoli F. 16. Borini F. 11. Pedrola E.
Substitutes
14. Ansaldi C. 4. Balogh B. 11. Begic T. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Del Prato E. 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Estevez N. 20. Hainaut A. 28. Mihaila V. 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G)	5. Askildsen K. 77. Delle Monache M. 9. De Luca M. 7. Esposito Se. 21. Giordano S. 32. Girelli S. 33. Gonzalez F. 20. La Gumina A. 17. Malagrida L. 22. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 10. Verre V.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Pirlo A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 1.

Parma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampdoria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Parma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Parma won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
17.09.23	Catanzaro - Parma	0:5 ✺
02.09.23	Parma - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Parma - FeralpiSalò	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
18.09.23	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Sampdoria - Venezia	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Ternana - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Sampdoria - Parma	1:1
Italian Serie A
22.05.21	Sampdoria - Parma	3:0
24.01.21	Parma - Sampdoria	0:2
19.07.20	Parma - Sampdoria	2:3
08.12.19	Sampdoria - Parma	0:1
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Parma - Sampdoria	2:1
Italian Serie A
05.05.19	Parma - Sampdoria	3:3

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