Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport
Finland	CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Luxembourg	Club RTL
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Benfica		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.4	5	6.75
	1.37	5.3	9
	1.39	5	8.2
	1.4	5.28	8.09
	1.36	5	8.5
	1.36	5.2	8.1
	1.39	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	5.09 ↑ (4.57)	8.23 ↑ (7.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
69.5%

Draw
18.8%

Club Brugge
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

20.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	7.1%	7.9%

Benfica - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (107 of 126 users predict this - 84.92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.67% – 91.17%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Benfica is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Brugge is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Benfica has currently - 14, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a very good chance of qtrs (>99%), has a chance of semis (43%), has a chance of final (17%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Brugge has currently - 11, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 66, importance 50, match rating 58. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Benfica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Brugge is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Benfica is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Injury) Draxler J. (Ankle Injury) Ristic M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Hendry J. (Muscle Injury) Skov Olsen A. (Hip Injury)

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
03.03.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Vizela - Benfica	0:2 ✺
20.02.23	Benfica - Boavista	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.02.23	Club Brugge - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.02.23	Braga - Benfica	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.03.23	Oostende - Club Brugge	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Club Brugge - Gent	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.02.23	Club Brugge - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.02.23	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
15.02.23	Club Brugge - Benfica	0:2

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