Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Luxembourg	Club RTL
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Club Brugge		Benfica

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	4.5	3.5	1.8
	4.7	3.55	1.88
	3.45	3.55	2
	4.79	3.6	1.86
	4.6	3.4	1.83
	4.7	3.48	1.82
	4.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.78)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	1.86 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
21.5%

Draw
27.1%

Benfica
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.7%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	7.6%	83.2%

Club Brugge - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (164 of 197 users predict this - 83.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.04% – 88.46%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Brugge is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Benfica is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Brugge has currently - 11, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benfica has currently - 14, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (85%), has a chance of semis (38%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 69, importance 35, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Brugge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

There will not play in Brugge: Skov Olsen A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Jutgla F. (Pelvis Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.02.23	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Club Brugge - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
19.01.23	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTT
- SL Benfica
Taça de Portugal
09.02.23	Braga - Benfica	2:1 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
04.02.23	Benfica - Casa Pia	3:0 ✺
31.01.23	Arouca - Benfica	0:3 ✺
26.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

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