Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Sport, TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Benfica		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.6	6.25
	1.5	4.6	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.75	6.72
	1.52	4.6	6.33	Watch
	1.5	4.6	6.5
	1.53	4.87	6.25
	1.5	4.6	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.64 ↑ (4.32)	6.44 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
64.3%

Draw
20.8%

Feyenoord
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.5%	6.8%	8.7%

Benfica - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (86 of 101 users predict this - 85.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.21% – 92.09%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 3. Carreras A. 8. Aursnes F. 61. Florentino 10. Kokcu O. 11. Di Maria A. 14. Pavlidis V. 17. Akturkoglu K.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 30. Lotomba J. 18. Trauner G. 33. Hancko D. 16. Bueno H. 4. Hwang In-Beom 27. Milambo A. 8. Timber Q. (C) 38. Osman I. 9. Ueda A. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
7. Amdouni Z. 81. Bajrami A. 37. Beste J. 9. Cabral A. 75. Gomes A. (G) 28. Kabore I. 86. Prioste D. 32. Rollheiser B. 85. Sanches R. 21. Schjelderup A. 4. Silva A. 24. Soares S. (G)	3. Beelen T. 41. Berger M. (G) 1. Bijlow J. (G) 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Ivanusec L. 20. Mitchell J. 5. Smal G. 6. Zerrouki R.
Coaches
Lage B.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Milambo A. ⚽, Timber Q. (A),
39', Timber Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Osman I. ↓, Beelen T. ↑,
65', Florentino ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
65', Di Maria A. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Akturkoglu K. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
72', Pavlidis V. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
72', Kokcu O. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
75', Lotomba J. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
75', Ueda A. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
88', Bueno H. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
88', Bah A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
90+1', Amdouni Z. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Milambo A. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
90+2', Sanches R. 🟨,

Preview

Benfica is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Feyenoord is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Prestianni G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Gimenez S. (Hip Injury) Hartman Q. (Knee Injury) Nadje C. (Injury) Nieuwkoop B. (Injury) Zechiel G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Benfica: Barreiro L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Stengs C. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Pevidem - Benfica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Benfica - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.09.24	Benfica - Gil Vicente	5:1 ✺
23.09.24	Boavista - Benfica	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Feyenoord	1:5 ✺
06.10.24	Feyenoord - Twente	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Girona - Feyenoord	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.24	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Feyenoord - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.24	Benfica - Feyenoord	5:0
30.07.23	Feyenoord - Benfica	2:1

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