Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	NEC Nijmegen		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.60	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.35
	2.80	3.65	2.28
	2.77	3.95	2.43
	2.79	3.87	2.3	Watch
	2.70	3.90	2.35
	3.01	3.95	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.98)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	2.33 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
34.1%

Draw
25.1%

Feyenoord
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

23.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

23.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Feyenoord (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 21. Storm T. 17. Nuytinck B. 66. Kabar A. 10. Tadic D. 6. Nejasmic D. 20. Lebreton N. 99. Bischoff C. 9. Chery T. (C) 14. Sierhuis K. 30. Linssen B.	1. Ernst T. (G) 26. Read G. 4. Watanabe T. 6. St. Juste J. 35. Marmol M. 28. Targhalline O. 8. Zechiel G. 34. Vanhoutte C. 27. Diarra G. 19. Nacho 10. Valente L. (C)
Substitutes
73. Bras G. 18. Geiger D. 38. Geneste J. (G) 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 34. Kers K. 35. Monteiro J. 12. Polster N. (G) 4. Schuurs P. 19. Tahaui A. 77. Thomas A. 11. Willumsson W. T.	11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 20. Deijl M. 33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 24. Kraaijeveld T. 16. Lopez J. 57. Schaken J. 14. Steijn S. 22. van den Elshout T. 49. van Persie S. 32. Wessels T. 36. Zinhagel J.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	van Bronckhorst G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Lebreton N. 🟨,
45+3', Zechiel G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', Targhalline O. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Zechiel G. ⚽, Nacho (A),
55', 1 - 1, Nejasmic D. ⚽,
59', Diarra G. ↓, Schaken J. ↑,
59', Nacho ↓, van Persie S. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Valente L. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
64', 1 - 3, Schaken J. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
72', Sierhuis K. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
72', Bischoff C. ↓, Thomas A. ↑,
72', Kabar A. ↓, Bras G. ↑,
80', Read G. ↓, Deijl M. ↑,
80', Zechiel G. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
80', Tadic D. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
80', Nuytinck B. ↓, Schuurs P. ↑,
85', Targhalline O. ↓, Kraaijeveld T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.

Nijmegen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Feyenoord is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:51. (average 1.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.26	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Bodø Glimt - NEC Nijmegen	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.26	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.26	Feyenoord - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cambuur - Feyenoord	2:5 ✺
16.08.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Feyenoord - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1
23.11.25	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:4
01.03.25	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	0:0
28.09.24	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1
12.05.24	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	2:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.04.24	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:2

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