Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Girona		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.75
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	2	3.8	3.7
	2	3.82	3.76
	2.03	3.75	3.62	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.8
	2	3.91	3.86
	2	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	3.77 ↑ (3.74)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
48.6%

Draw
25.6%

Feyenoord
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	16.7%	10%

Girona - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 62.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 5. Lopez D. (C) 18. Krejci L. 3. Gutierrez M. 6. van de Beek D. 21. Herrera Y. 23. Martin I. 8. Tsygankov V. 20. Gil B. 19. Miovski B.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 30. Lotomba J. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. 16. Bueno H. 8. Timber Q. (C) 4. Hwang In-Beom 27. Milambo A. 38. Osman I. 9. Ueda A. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
10. Asprilla Y. 11. Danjuma A. 16. Frances A. 15. Juanpe 25. Lopez P. (G) 24. Portu 9. Ruiz A. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C.	41. Berger M. (G) 1. Bijlow J. (G) 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Ivanusec L. 20. Mitchell J. 34. Nadje C. 5. Smal G. 18. Trauner G. 24. Zechiel G. 6. Zerrouki R.
Coaches
Michel	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Herrera Y. 🟨,
14', Osman I. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Herrera Y. (Own goal), Timber Q. (A),
29', Tsygankov V. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
33', 1 - 2, Milambo A. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
35', Martin I. 🟨,
36', Ueda A. (Pen),
45+1', Lopez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Danjuma A. 🟨,
60', Bueno H. 🟨,
61', Osman I. ↓, Zerrouki R. ↑,
64', Hwang In-Beom 🟨,
67', Miovski B. (Pen),
71', Ueda A. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
71', Bueno H. ↓, Trauner G. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, van de Beek D. ⚽, Danjuma A. (A),
75', van de Beek D. 🟨,
75', Miovski B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
75', Gil B. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Krejci L. (Own goal), Hancko D. (A),
82', Lotomba J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
82', Milambo A. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
82', van de Beek D. ↓, Portu ↑,
82', Herrera Y. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
89', Stuani C. 🟨,

Preview

Girona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Feyenoord is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Feyenoord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Blind D. (Calf Injury) Jastin G. (Shoulder Injury) Romeu O. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Gimenez S. (Hip Injury) Hartman Q. (Knee Injury) Nieuwkoop B. (Injury) Stengs C. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Valencia - Girona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Girona	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.09.24	Girona - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLL
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.24	NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Feyenoord - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.24	Groningen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TWLTT

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