Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Portugal	Benfica TV, SIC
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Benfica		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.09	11	17	Watch
	1.11	11.50	18.00
	1.07	9.8	25	Watch
	1.1	10.62	20.26
	1.11	9.91	19.46	Watch
	1.07	10	19
	1.11	9.58	19.9	Watch
	1.09	9.4	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.22)	10.23 ↑ (6.39)	19.58 ↑ (10.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
86%

Draw
9.2%

Hearts
4.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.6%

14.6%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

Benfica - Hearts Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Soares S. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. (C) 2. Lenglet C. 26. Dahl S. 18. Barreiro L. 5. Barrenechea E. 27. Rafa Silva 10. Sudakov G. 25. Prestianni G. 14. Pavlidis V.	1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. (C) 7. Miller C. 78. Mendy L. 16. Spittal B. 89. Kyziridis A. 11. Kabore P. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
72. Anisio 17. Dedic A. 22. Duran J. 73. Figueiredo M. 33. Gabriel Indio 13. Kaminski J. 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu 62. Neto J. 20. Rios R. 21. Schjelderup A. 1. Trubin A. (G)	77. Ba-Sy A. 28. Clark Z. (G) 30. Fulton R. (G) 39. Gillies M. 19. Guendouz S. 24. Kamara M. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 5. McCart J. 15. McPake J. 12. Renaud T. 21. Wilson J.
Coaches
Silva M.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Araujo T. ⚽, Sudakov G. (A),
33', Prestianni G. 🟨,
41', Mendy L. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mendy L. ↓, Renaud T. ↑,
46', Milne H. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Prestianni G. ⚽,
64', Kabore P. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
65', Pavlidis V. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
65', Barrenechea E. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
65', Sudakov G. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
70', Spittal B. 🟨,
72', 4 - 1, Renaud T. ⚽, Guendouz S. (A),
73', Lenglet C. ↓, Manu ↑,
73', Miller C. ↓, McPake J. ↑,
79', Bah A. 🟨,
85', McEntee O. 🟨,
85', Prestianni G. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
86', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Duran J. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
89', Braga C. 🟨,
90+3', 6 - 1, Schjelderup A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg.

Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hearts has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Benfica: 7.38%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 76.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Benfica - St. Gallen	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Benfica - Belenenses	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	St. Gallen - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Benfica - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Benfica - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWL
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
01.08.26	Aberdeen - Hearts	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Sturm Graz - Hearts	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Hearts - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

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