The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 45.8%
Draw 27.7%
Juventus 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
26.1%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26.1%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.6%
13.2%
13.2%
Benfica - Juventus Predictions
Users Predictions:
182 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 134 - 73.6%). Juventus will win (votes: 24 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 13.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 67.2% – 80%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Benfica has currently - 8, has a chance of 1st (36%), has a good chance of 2nd (63%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a chance of qtrs (43%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Juventus has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has a good chance of 3rd (78%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has big quality74, small importance18, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Benfica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Juventus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Benfica will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Benfica: Draxler J.
(Muscle Injury)
Morato
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Juventus: Ake M.
(Broken Leg)
Bremer
(Injury)
Chiesa F.
(Knee Injury)
De Sciglio M.
(Thigh Injury)
Di Maria A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kaio Jorge
(Knee Injury)
Paredes L.
(Muscle Injury)
Peeters D.
(Muscle Injury)
Pogba P.
(Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Africa
Australia
Austria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Italy
Portugal
Romania
United-kingdom
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