The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paris Saint-Germain 64.7%
Draw 20.1%
Benfica 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.4%
16.6%
12%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
16.6%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.1%
5.6%
13.3%
Paris Saint Germain - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(159 of 196 users predict this - 81.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.64% – 86.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
PSG has currently - 7, has a good chance of 1st (74%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a very small chance of 3rd (2%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (98%), has a good chance of qtrs (65%), has a chance of semis (39%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Benfica has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (25%), has a good chance of 2nd (68%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%), has a good chance of round of 16 (94%), has a chance of qtrs (37%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has big quality84, importance46, match rating65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
PSG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Benfica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently PSG have a series of guest games.
In this match PSG is absolute favorite.
There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendes N.
(Thigh Injury)
Messi L.
(Calf Injury)
Pembele T.
(Knee Injury)
Sanches R.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Benfica: Lucas Verissimo
(Knee Injury)
Morato
(Ankle Injury)
Neres D.
(Muscle Injury)
Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.47.
Last 4 head-to-head matches PSG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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