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Current Win Probability
Benfica 88.8%
Draw 8.2%
Paços de Ferreira 2.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.3%
16.6%
8.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paços de Ferreira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.8%
15.8%
18.4%
Benfica - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 50.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (38.04%), has project points - 75, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (83%), has a chance of win league (38%).
Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (27.13%), has project points - 30, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality52, importance55, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 5.
Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Paços de Ferreira is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Paços de Ferreira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.
Recently Paços de Ferreira have a series of home games.
In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Benfica: Joao Victor
(Injury)
Lucas Verissimo
(Knee Injury)
Tavares T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Butzke A.
(Red Card)
Djalo M.
(Red Card)
Ilori T.
(Injury)
Luiz C.
(Injury)
Silva J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Paços de Ferreira: Ganchas P.
(Injury)
Jordi
(Injury)
Last 24 head-to-head matches Benfica won 21 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 56-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 33-4.