Match Info

Date: 8 March 2021, Monday


	Benfica B		Arouca

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.05	2.4
	2.95	3	2.38
	2.97	3.27	2.56
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	2.91	3.06	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.01)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.46 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
32.3%

Draw
29.9%

Arouca
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

21.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arouca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Benfica B - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arouca is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.21	Estoril Praia - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
22.02.21	Benfica B - Mafra	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Chaves - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Benfica B - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWT
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
27.02.21	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Académico de Viseu - Arouca	0:4 ✺
13.02.21	Arouca - Varzim	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Leixões - Arouca	0:1 ✺
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.10.20	Arouca - Benfica B	1:0
30.01.19	Benfica B - Arouca	3:1
19.08.18	Arouca - Benfica B	1:2
15.04.18	Arouca - Benfica B	1:0
01.12.17	Benfica B - Arouca	1:0
28.04.13	Benfica B - Arouca	1:1

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