Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Benfica TV, BTV Online


	Benfica B		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.35	3.25	2.82
	2.43	3.26	3.07
	2.34	3.38	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.37	3.2	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.28)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
39.3%

Draw
28.7%

Farense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Benfica B - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Ferreira D. (G) 94. Silva R. 85. Ferreira M. 64. Oliveira G. 58. Banjaqui D. 77. Moreira G. 73. Figueiredo M. 86. Prioste D. (C) 62. Neto J. 39. Araujo H. 72. Anisio	99. Araujo B. (G) 3. D'Agrella L. 26. Ruben 43. Dario Miranda 6. Derick Poloni 29. Claudio Falcao 20. Semedo Y. 90. Sangare B. 10. Almeida B. 77. Matias M. (C) 7. Costa R.
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 99. Dudu 87. Edokpolor P. 88. Freitas T. 67. Rego R. 92. Sandahl A. (G) 78. Soares D. 96. Trevisan J.	17. Candeias A. 9. Carter A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 23. Gjorgjev N. 34. Herrero T. 8. Menino M. 80. Ndiaye A. 14. Poveda D. 46. Rafael Pontelo
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Jose Faria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Moreira G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
59', Anisio ↓, Dudu ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Moreira G. ⚽,
68', Ruben ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
68', Almeida B. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
71', 🟨,
74', Sangare B. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
74', Matias M. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
77', Araujo H. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
77', Moreira G. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
80', Figueiredo M. 🟨,
83', Dario Miranda ↓, Gjorgjev N. ↑,
85', Semedo Y. 🟨,
90', Figueiredo M. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
90+5', Trevisan J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Farense - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
14.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Benfica B - Feirense	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Penafiel - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Torreense - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benfica B - Felgueiras	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
13.03.26	Farense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Penafiel - Farense	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chaves - Farense	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Farense - Leixões	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.11.25	Farense - Benfica B	4:3
19.05.23	Benfica B - Farense	0:1
15.01.23	Farense - Benfica B	5:2
21.02.22	Benfica B - Farense	3:0
19.09.21	Farense - Benfica B	2:2
05.01.20	Farense - Benfica B	0:3
05.04.19	Benfica B - Farense	3:1

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