The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 32.6%
Draw 28.7%
Leiria 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
26.8%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
27.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Benfica B - Leiria Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Ferreira D. (G) 94. Silva R. 64. Oliveira G. 89. Parente T. 58. Banjaqui D. 86. Prioste D. (C) 60. Felix N. 84. Rego J. 67. Rego R. 39. Araujo H. 54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F.
98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 5. Rofino V. G. 3. Baro M. 19. Fernandez P. 25. Amado D. (C) 17. Lucho Vega 52. Sylla H. 9. Munoz J. 86. Michel D.
Substitutes
95. de Sousa T. 99. Dudu 87. Edokpolor P. 73. Figueiredo M. 88. Freitas T. 79. Pinto K. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 74. Tome O. 96. Trevisan J.
20. Gomes B. 11. Jair da Silva 18. Lottin A. 88. Martins D. 99. Odehnal J. (G) 6. Rodriguez G. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 39. Zikovic R.
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Pereira F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Felix N. ↓, Figueiredo M. ↑,
35', Marcelo 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽, Rofino V. G. (A),
45+2', Oliveira G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Amado D. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
46', Rego R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Rego J. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
51', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Marcelo ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
64', Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
69', Fernandez P. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
70', Sylla H. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Silva R. ⚽, Banjaqui D. (A),
76', Banjaqui D. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
79', Maga ↓, Silva J. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Trevisan J. ⚽, Prioste D. (A),
90+1', Lucho Vega ↓, Santos J. ↑,
90+1', Baro M. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Benfica B
6
3
1
2
7:5
2
10
7
Leiria
6
3
1
2
10:7
3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Benfica B - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Africa
Portugal
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Ferreira D. (G) 
Joao Bravim (G) 
Rofino V. G. 
Baro M. 
Lucho Vega 
Sylla H. 
Michel D. 
de Sousa T. 
Edokpolor P. 
Pinto K. 
Trevisan J. 
Lottin A. 
Odehnal J. (G) 
Zikovic R. 
