Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Felgueiras		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.4	4.05
	1.77	3.73	4.93
	1.81	3.55	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.85	3.38	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.38 ↓ (3.71)	4.25 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
51%

Draw
27.3%

Porto B
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The chances for Porto B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	3.2%	9.7%

Felgueiras - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: Felgueiras will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felgueiras will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 78. Moreira V. 7. Rivas M. 19. Lucas Duarte 30. Feliz (C)	91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. (C) 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 56. Kaue Rodrigues 88. Andrade D. 92. Teixeira J. 72. Miranda A. 43. Melnichenko T. 75. Karamoh Y.
Substitutes
77. Beni 20. Berna 17. Cruz F. 1. Didi (G) 4. Dudu Cruz 14. Jean-Marie M. 10. Michel Costa 3. Pinto J. 12. Zangre A.	59. Andrade T. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 64. Gomes L. 66. Lima B. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L.
Coaches
Bento A.	Brandao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Dario 🟨,
24', Kaue Rodrigues 🟨,
31', Silva A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Lucas Duarte ⚽, Feliz (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Karamoh Y. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
62', Rivas M. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
65', Teixeira J. ↓, Vonic L. ↑,
69', Feliz ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
77', Miranda A. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
81', Henrique Kaio ↓, Pereira Y. ↑,
82', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Lucas Duarte ⚽, Rosas P. (A),
90+2', Martins H. ↓, Berna ↑,
90+2', Eiro ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
90+2', Dario ↓, Dudu Cruz ↑,
90+6', Andrade D. 🟨,
90+6', Andrade D. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Felgueiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Porto B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Felgueiras is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
13.12.25	Leiria - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Felgueiras - Farense	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTL
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
12.12.25	Porto B - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Leixões - Porto B	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Porto B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Porto B - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Chaves - Porto B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.25	Felgueiras - Porto B	1:0
29.09.24	Porto B - Felgueiras	0:2

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