The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 35.6%
Draw 27.3%
Vizela 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
26.1%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
71.4%
28.6%
Benfica B - Vizela Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Ferreira D. (G) 85. Ferreira M. 55. Fonseca J. 64. Oliveira G. 67. Rego R. 68. Veloso J. 88. Freitas T. 86. Prioste D. (C) 79. Pinto K. 96. Trevisan J. 90. Lima I.
1. Gomis A. (G) 40. Italo Henrique 37. Sampaio J. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 20. Godwin O. 7. Loppy D. 5. Moha Moukhliss 8. Bastunov A. 11. Thio 33. Schutte R. 24. Morschel H.
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 99. Dudu 87. Edokpolor P. 97. Melro J. 77. Moreira G. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 94. Silva R.
26. Beirao R. 22. Busnic A. 29. Kitala Y. 9. Manu 63. Obradovic S. 14. Pierre L. 47. Ramos P. 25. Ruly (G) 17. Tavares M.
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Sousa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Freitas T. ⚽, Rego R. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Morschel H. (Pen),
30', Ferreira M. 🟨,
30', Schutte R. 🟨,
45+2', Morschel H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Rhyner J. 🟨,
58', Schutte R. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
67', Lima I. 🟨,
70', Freitas T. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
70', Loppy D. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
70', Bastunov A. ↓, Busnic A. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Sampaio J. ⚽, Morschel H. (A),
78', Busnic A. 🟨,
80', Trevisan J. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
80', Lima I. ↓, Dudu ↑,
80', Veloso J. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
82', Gomis A. 🟨,
85', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
85', Italo Henrique ↓, Obradovic S. ↑,
88', Dudu 🟨,
90+3', Obradovic S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Vizela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Benfica B - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Vizela - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.