Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	ATV


	Moquegua		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.1
	2.38	3.18	2.95
	2.32	3.16	3.04	Watch
	2.24	3	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	3.05 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
40.3%

Draw
29.6%

Universidad César Vallejo
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Figueroa R. (G)
10. Chavez N.
90. Collazos J.
30. Granda J.
6. Jimenez J.
28. Lopez J.
22. Montenegro E.
24. Moreno K.
14. Ramirez C.
18. Rodriguez L.
8. Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', Ramirez C. 🟨,
20', Romero A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Collazos J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Montenegro E. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Quispe J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Cornejo M. ⚽,
45+3', Chavez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, ⚽,
69', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Moquegua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, César Vallejo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
09.11.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Comercio - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WLWTW
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
09.11.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
09.11.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	0:1
21.09.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	1:1
17.08.25	Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0

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