Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Bergantiños		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.17	3	3.25
	2.27	3.1	3.29
	2.25	3.01	3.2
	2.23	3.13	3.18
	2.17	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	3.03 ↑ (3)	3.21 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
41.4%

Draw
30.1%

Compostela
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

32%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergantiños, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Compostela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergantiños - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 2, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, Ocana J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 13).

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Compostela have a series of home games.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Bergantiños - Marbella	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Bergantiños - Laredo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.11.24	Compostela - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Compostela - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Real Avilés - Compostela	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Compostela - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.10.24	Compostela - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.23	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:0
30.10.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	1:2
19.02.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	3:2
02.10.21	Compostela - Bergantiños	1:1

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